Statistical Power in Regression

Power analysis in regression helps you determine whether your sample size is large enough to detect an effect of a certain size with a given level of confidence. It’s essential when planning studies to avoid wasting resources or missing true relationships (Type II errors).


🎯 What Is Statistical Power?

Statistical power is the probability of correctly rejecting a false null hypothesis (i.e., detecting a true effect). Conventionally:

  • Power ≥ 0.80 is considered adequate
  • Power depends on:
    • Effect size (e.g., R_squared, f_squared)
    • Sample size (N)
    • Significance level (α), typically 0.05
    • Number of predictors (k)

📐 Effect Size Metric in Regression Power Analysis: f²

f_squared=R_squared/(1−R_squared)​

Cohen’s (1988) guidelines for f_squared:

  • 0.02 = small
  • 0.15 = medium
  • 0.35 = large

🧮 How to Do Power Analysis for Regression

Using G*Power (Free tool)

  1. Open G*Power
  2. Select:
    • Test family: F tests
    • Statistical test: Linear multiple regression: Fixed model, R² deviation from zero
  3. Choose:
    • Type of power analysis: A priori (to calculate required sample size)
  4. Input parameters:
    • Effect size f_squared
    • α = 0.05 (default)
    • Power = 0.80 or 0.90
    • Number of predictors

👉 Click “Calculate” – G*Power will give you the required sample size.


🔁 Example

You want to detect a medium effect (f² = 0.15) with:

  • α = 0.05
  • Power = 0.80
  • Predictors = 4

G*Power says you need ~85 participants.


How to Do Power Analysis for Regression in SPSS (v28/v29+)

🔁 Scenario

You want to determine how many cases (sample size) are needed to detect a medium effect size in a linear regression model with 4 predictors, at 80% power, and a significance level of 0.05.


🧭 Step-by-Step Instructions

🔹 Step 1: Access Power Analysis

  • Go to:
    Analyze > Power Analysis > Linear Regression

🔹 Step 2: Choose the Type of Analysis

In the dialog box, choose from one of the following:

  • Compute required sample size (A priori)
  • Compute power given sample size
  • Compute effect size
  • Compute α error probability

For planning, choose: Compute required sample size


🔹 Step 3: Define Model Parameters

Fill in the following fields:

  • Effect size (f²):
    • 0.02 = small
    • 0.15 = medium
    • 0.35 = large
  • Number of predictors: Enter the number of independent variables
  • α level: Commonly 0.05
  • Power (1 – β): Typically 0.80 or 0.90

For example:
Effect size = 0.15
Predictors = 4
α = 0.05
Power = 0.80


🔹 Step 4: Run the Analysis

Click OK. SPSS will output:

  • Required sample size
  • Effect size and power curves (if requested)
  • A summary table with all inputs and computed results

🧾 Interpreting SPSS Output

The output will show:

  • Required N (sample size)
  • Achieved power (if computing power instead of N)
  • Graph (optional) showing the relationship between power and sample size

💡 Tip: Use Charts for Reports

Click the Plots tab before running the analysis to generate:

  • Power vs. sample size graphs
  • Helpful visuals for presentations or publications

🧠 Bonus: Effect Size Estimator Tool in SPSS

SPSS also includes an Effect Size Calculator under:
Analyze > Power Analysis > Effect Size Estimator
Use it to convert between:

  • R² and f²
  • Cohen’s d and η²
  • t-values and effect sizes

✅ Final Thoughts

With SPSS’s new Power Analysis module, you no longer need to switch between tools like G*Power or Excel. You can now plan, analyze, and report everything from within SPSS — all using a consistent interface.


✅ Summary

ComponentDescription
Effect Sizef² based on expected R²
Tool to UseG*Power (recommended), SPSS
Ideal Power≥ 0.80
Main UsePlan sample size for detecting effects

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